MARKET THOUGHTS

Let’s dig right into the market and charts. First off DAX.

The trend is obviously up but volatility is perhaps a bit high for “safe bull” market (~100 points / daily). The index is also quite high above its moving average of 200 days (@7155 points), sooner or later it will try the average. Usually DAX tries this average at least once a year, the question is though when.. First better support level is @ 7500.

DAX 1D CHART


Cumulative NYSE advance – decline volume is not yet suggesting market top. It is still suspicious when it shoots up in the air like this..

CUMULATIVE NYUD
And then the divergence on copper vs spx.
 COPPER vs. SPX PERFORMANCE

VIX:VXV (averages) made a bear cross in february (signal valid ~30 days or 22 bank days after cross over).

$RHSPX is also high, look at the pattern the last 3 years

SPX stocks above MA50. Below 70% is usually a heads up.

Tomorrow I’ll post more thoughts, more focus on money and volume flow.

Have a great weekend!

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